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CapWatch:
March 9, 2026

CapWatch - Larkin Hoffman Public Affairs

Minnesota State CapWatch

Legislative Session

Three weeks into the 2026 legislative session and halfway to the first round of committee deadlines, the Minnesota Legislature has been operating at a rapid pace with committees already taking up significant legislative proposals and receiving updates from state agencies. While many committee hearings are focused on non-controversial proposals, the looming election and the narrow political split in the Minnesota Legislature has also led to significant discussion of high profile and polarizing initiatives.

The next three weeks will be critical for legislators to get their bills heard to advance their initiatives toward passage. Legislative committees have until Friday, March 27th to take up and hear individual legislative proposals with the legislature subsequently on an Easter/Passover break the week of March 30th. When legislators return on March 7th, they will have only six weeks to accomplish whatever they hope to accomplish before their constitutional deadline to adjourn.

What’s Going on at the Capitol

This week, legislators dedicated time and attention to a number of high-profile or controversial proposals, including:

Elimination of Taxes on Tips: Workers would be able to deduct up to $25,000 in tip income from state taxes, matching federal policy changes.

Elimination of Taxes on Overtime: Employees could deduct up to $12,500 of overtime pay to encourage workforce participation.

Property Tax Caps: A proposed cap would limit annual property tax increases to the rate of inflation plus 50% of population growth for cities with over 2,500 residents.

Vehicle Registration Relief: The plan seeks to lower license tab fees, which Republicans argue have risen excessively in recent years.

Important Dates

Deadlines are as follows:

Legislative leaders also announced the schedule for legislative breaks, including:

The legislature must adjourn no later than midnight on May 18, 2026.

Federal CapWatch

Congress returns this week with the Senate in session while the House remains out. House Republicans are gathered in Doral, Florida for their annual legislative retreat at Trump National Doral, where President Donald Trump is scheduled to address members this evening. Speaker Mike Johnson’s retreat agenda includes appearances from several conservative commentators and political strategists, as well as senior White House officials and economic advisers.

A key focus of the retreat is expected to be planning for a potential second budget reconciliation package. House Republican leadership is beginning early discussions about policy priorities and potential spending reductions. House Budget Committee Chair Jodey Arrington of Texas is expected to outline possible areas for federal spending cuts, including initiatives targeting waste, fraud, and abuse in federal programs.

Iran Conflict

Foreign policy developments will also dominate attention in Washington this week as the conflict involving Iran continues to escalate. U.S. officials have confirmed that seven Americans have been killed during the conflict. Iranian casualties are estimated to exceed 1,300, although those figures have not been independently verified. Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has been elevated as Iran’s new supreme leader following his father’s death during the early days of the war. His rise signals that Iranian leadership is unlikely to soften its posture in response to U.S. and Israeli military pressure.

The broader regional conflict continues to intensify. Israeli strikes on energy infrastructure have caused extensive damage in Tehran, while hostilities have spread across multiple parts of the Middle East. Reports indicate renewed fighting in Iraq, escalating clashes between Israel and Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, and Iranian drone strikes targeting U.S. diplomatic facilities in Saudi Arabia. The State Department has ordered American diplomats to depart Riyadh following attacks near the U.S. embassy compound.

The geopolitical conflict is now creating significant economic repercussions. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has driven oil prices above $100 per barrel, up sharply from below $70 just ten days ago. Gasoline prices are rising nationwide, and global financial markets have reacted negatively. Several G7 nations are discussing the potential release of up to 400 million barrels of oil from strategic reserves in an effort to stabilize global energy markets.

The Senate Armed Services Committee is scheduled to receive a classified briefing Tuesday morning on the U.S. military operation known as Operation Epic Fury, which may provide additional insight into the current military engagement and next steps.

SAVE Act

Meanwhile, Senate Republican leadership continues to face growing pressure from conservative activists over the SAVE America Act, legislation passed by the House that would require photo identification and proof of citizenship for voting in federal elections. President Trump has urged the Senate to prioritize passage of the bill and has indicated he would not sign other legislation until the measure reaches his desk.

The situation presents a challenge for Senate leaders because there does not appear to be sufficient Republican support to pursue a prolonged “talking filibuster,” a procedural strategy some proponents have suggested to force the bill forward. At the same time, other legislative priorities remain pending, including the confirmation of Senator Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security and a funding bill to resolve the ongoing Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now in its third week.

The competing priorities have created a complicated legislative environment for Senate leadership, with internal Republican divisions emerging over strategy and timing.

It is shaping up to be a consequential week in Washington as lawmakers balance escalating geopolitical tensions, rising economic pressures, and a crowded legislative agenda.

Larkin Hoffman Public Affairs will continue to monitor these developments closely and keep clients apprised of key federal policy and legislative updates that may affect their priorities.

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